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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-10-24T17:01Z
Model Inputs: 2024-10-24T03:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-36.0, Lat.=-14.0, Speed=2006.0, HalfAngle=50.0, Time21.5=2024-10-24T05:37Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-10-25T10:44Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -28.8 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 25.2 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.1 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=7 (kp)135=9 (kp)180=9 Other Location(s) Impact: Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-25T03:31Z Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-25T00:20Z Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-24T18:16Z Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-28T08:00Z (Glancing Blow) OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-26T12:00Z (Glancing Blow) STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-26T00:00Z (Glancing Blow) [PE: -34.4 hr] Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241024_053700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : This is a SHOCK measurement for SEP model support. For 2.0AU CME BULK impacts, see: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/34154/1 Submitted on 2024-10-24T17:09Z by Mary Aronne No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
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